President Donald Trump was impeached under the false pretense of
withholding military assistance from Ukraine (he never did). Intelligence
Community operative Lt. Col Alexander Vindman testified to congress that
President Trump’s decision to pause military assistance to Ukraine was evidence
of some suspicious relationship between President Trump and Russian President
Putin…. The media proclaimed Trump was working to assist Russia because
President Putin likely had pee tapes, or something.
Fast forward a little more than a year, Joe Biden meets with
Putin, get eviscerated and embarrassed by the diplomatic smack-down from the
Russian President, and suddenly Joe Biden is freezing formerly approved
military assistance for Ukraine…. IMPEACH!
The Biden White House
has temporarily halted a military aid package to Ukraine that would include
lethal weapons, a plan originally made in response to aggressive Russian troop
movements along Ukraine’s border this spring.
The aid package would be
worth up to $100 million, according to four people familiar with internal
deliberations.
The National Security
Council directed officials to put the package together, as Washington grew
increasingly concerned over a massive Russian military buildup near the border
with Ukraine and in the Crimean Peninsula, according to three of the people,
who like the others asked not to be named in order to speak candidly about
internal discussions. Officials at the State Department and Pentagon worked to
assemble the proposal.
But officials on the
National Security Council ended up putting the proposal on hold after Russia
announced it would draw down troops stationed near Ukraine and in the lead-up
to President Joe Biden’s high-stakes summit with Russian President Vladimir
Putin.
One of the sources said
the package is still intact, and could be sent to Ukraine quickly. The Washington Post first reported that
the administration considered and has now frozen the package. The fact that
National Security Council officials froze the aid and the specific weapons
discussed for inclusion in the aid package have not been previously reported.
Key items under
consideration for the package include short-range air defense systems, small
arms and more anti-tank weapons, according to two people with knowledge of the
discussions.
Since Russia’s 2014
invasion of Ukraine and annexation of Crimea, the United States has provided
some $2.5 billion in military aid to Kyiv, including unarmed drones, radios and
Javelin anti-tank missiles.
The latest proposal came
about after Russia staged more than 100,000 troops, along with rocket
battalions and heavy armor units, near Ukraine’s border this spring, according to estimates.
In late April, Russia’s defense ministry announced that it would begin
withdrawing some of the troops.
Past discussions over
lethal military aid to Ukraine have been politically fraught, given concern
over provoking Russia, issues with training the Ukrainian forces themselves and
ongoing uneasiness over corruption in the Ukrainian government and military.
But despite Russia’s
announcement, a top Ukrainian official said in May that about 100,000 Russian
troops were still near its border and in Crimea, Al Jazeera reported.
That same month, Biden officials told The New York Times that
the number was closer to 80,000.
Russian Defense Minister
Sergei Shoigu announced in May that Moscow was in the process of building 20
new military units to base in Western Russia, close to the Ukrainian border
over the next year, though he was vague on specifics.
Satellite imagery
captured by Maxar in May and June of this year shows that hundreds of trucks
and other heavy equipment remains staged in newly constructed makeshift bases
in Western Russia and at a major training range in Crimea.
“The reason they left
those units is because they said that they intend to use them in Zapad 2021,” a
large military exercise Russia holds every several years with Belarus involving
tens of thousands of troops, said Michael Kofman, director of Russian studies
at CNA. Moscow had already transported heavy armor, rocket units and other
equipment from their home bases in Central Russia, “and they didn’t want to
drag them back. That was their argument, and we'll see,” Kofman added. The last
Zapad exercise was held in 2017, and the next one is set for September.
The photos show fully
stocked motor pools near the town of Voronezh in Western Russia and the Opuk
Training Center in Crimea.
The rapid buildup
alarmed the Biden administration and European allies, as the scale of the
Russian maneuvers — heavy armor, reserve troops, a field hospital and kitchens
shipped from bases hundreds of miles away — gave the impression of a force
primed and ready to conduct extended operations. The buildup was larger than
what was seen during the 2014 invasion of Ukraine.
he vehicles and
equipment near the city of Voronezh belong in part to the 41st Combined Arms
Army, a modernized unit that includes mobile infantry units, rocket brigades
and heavy artillery units.
Kofman said the area
around the border has been staffed by units with “pretty high levels of
readiness and a lot more modernized equipment” than had been stationed there in
previous years.
American aid to Ukraine
has drawn intense scrutiny in the past. In 2019, Trump moved to block the
delivery of lethal aid to Ukraine as part of an effort to pressure Ukrainian
President Volodymyr Zelensky to announce an investigation connected to Biden’s
son. Zelensky made no such announcement, and the hold-up triggered the first
impeachment of Trump. At the time, congressional Democrats were vociferous
about the importance of the U.S. providing support to the war-weary country.
The Pentagon has
approved two aid packages to Ukraine this year alone, totaling $275 million.
The first, in March, added two more armed Mark VI patrol boats to the Ukrainian
fleet, part of a larger, $600 million deal for 16 of the boats signed in 2020.
The package included 32
Seahawk A2 gun systems and dozens of 30mm cannons for the shallow-water boats,
which gives them offensive power.
In June, another $150
million congressionally mandated package was approved. It does not appear to
include any lethal aid, but instead will ship several radar systems designed to
track incoming artillery rounds and drones, which have played a large role in
the fighting in Eastern Ukraine over the past several years.
Despite the military aid
and the presence of NATO troops in the country to train Ukrainian military
units, Kyiv likely has a long road ahead before it can join the transatlantic
alliance.
But the positive noises
the alliance makes can sometimes lead to awkward moments.
During the NATO summit
on Monday, Zelensky tweeted that NATO leaders had “confirmed” his country would
become a member, reading boilerplate language in the annual communique as a
confirmation of his country’s status.
Asked about the
country’s admission status, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg pumped the
brakes in a Tuesday news conference. “Ukraine is an aspirant country,”
Stoltenberg said. “We provide support to them, especially to continue to
modernize and refine their defense and security institutions, civilian-political
control over their security services, and not least fighting corruption.”
Biden also stuck to the
traditional NATO line during his own press conference after the summit, saying
the U.S. would “do all that we can to put Ukraine in the position to be able to
continue to resist Russian physical aggression.”
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